# Sharp money

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Sharp money is money wagered by bettors with a demonstrated long-run edge, whose bets move lines because books and markets respect their information.

Sharp money comes from bettors who beat the closing line over time: professionals, syndicates and models with a real edge. Their bets matter more than their volume suggests, because markets learn from them. When sharp money lands on a side, prices move toward it. Public money, from recreational bettors, is larger in count but carries less information, so books often let it pile up on one side without moving much.

## How it works

Books identify sharps by results and by closing line value, not by bet size alone. A sharp account's bets tend to be followed by the line moving their way. Analysts look for sharp money by comparing the share of tickets with the share of money on each side. If a side has few tickets but a large share of the handle, its bettors are making bigger bets on average, a common sign of sharp involvement.

## Worked example

An illustrative market with 1,000 tickets and $100,000 of handle:

Ticket and handle split (illustrative)

| Side | Tickets | Ticket share | Handle | Handle share | Average bet |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Side A | 300 | 30% | $60,000 | 60% | $200.00 |
| Side B | 700 | 70% | $40,000 | 40% | $57.14 |
| Total | 1,000 | 100% | $100,000 | 100% | $100.00 |


Side A has fewer than a third of the tickets but 60% of the money, and its average bet is $200 against $57.14 on Side B. If the line moves toward Side A, that is the money the book respects. A price taken on Side A before the move would show positive closing line value, which you can check with the [CLV calculator](https://novigapi.com/clv-calculator).

## On Novig

On an exchange, sharp money shows up directly in the order book and in trades. Large trades that lift asks on one side, followed by the fair price moving that way, are the exchange version of a sharp move. Novig's market data carries volume and open interest per market, and our `/trades` endpoint lists executed trades with size and side, while `/line-moves` and the steam webhook flag fast price changes. Because there is no house margin, sharp traders can also act as makers, resting bids and earning the maker credit instead of paying the taker fee.

## Common mistakes

- Tailing every big bet. Large bets can come from wealthy recreational players, not sharps.
- Arriving late. By the time a split is published, the line has often moved.
- Assuming the sharp side always wins. Sharps win a little more than the price implies over many bets, not every game.

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